L' 8 Marzo 2011 , Festa della Donna in Italia, segna il giorno numero 19 dall'inizio dei combattimenti in Libia e dalla rivolta armata della “ Giornata della Collera” indetta il 17 Febbraio scorso.
Nei primi due giorni di scontri armati e di contestazioni the old regime of Gaddafi, in power for 41 years, many news was leaked via the Internet (just before the darkness of the network in Libya), the tough reaction by the police and the army against demonstrators by the thousands were taken to the streets in Tripoli, but mostly in Benghazi, and Tobruk in Zawiyah.
But often the news, accompanied by photographs, have proved unfounded or otherwise deliberately "exaggerated" and exaggerated, such as not to remember those three were empty dug in the sand with the caption that read: "Mass graves on the beach Tripoli, Gadhafi's regime and massacres reacts brutally against his own people! " Quelle fosse comuni in realtà non erano state scavate sulla spiaggia del bellissimo litorale Libico, e quella “spiaggia” era in realtà un regolare cimitero Islamico di Tripoli.
Tentativo propagandistico dunque dell'opposizione al Regime di Gheddafi per scuotere ancora di più le coscienze democratiche degli insorti prima e dell'opinione pubblica Internazionale poi, un po come accadde in Romania nella rivolta popolare del mese di Dicembre, annata 1989, quando fu deposto il vecchio dittatore Comunista Ceaucescu: alla televisione di Stato i ribelli riuscirono a far circolare le immagini di centinaia e centinaia di cadaveri messi tutti in fila uno accanto all'altro, spargendo the news that the Securitate (Romanian Secret Service in the service of the Government of Ceaucescu), had mercilessly massacred thousands of people and of opponents in cold blood: the news was fake, these corpses were unearthed from various cemeteries purpose of a little village away from the capital Bucharest, corpses were then photographed, and movies masquerading as insurgents killed, but in fact the cold-blooded massacre there was never was, despite all those photos and the tragic "news" fake angry enough to do even already strained over the minds of the protesters anti-Ceaucescu who pushed the accelerator to the armed uprising against the Communist regime, the end, we all know, Ceaucescu and his wife, ousted, captured, tried and shot in just 24 hours, the Communist Romania coupled with lots of greetings to his party and its leaders in the new riciclatisi and crippled democracy based on corruption, mafia and widespread poverty.
always just two days after the beginning of the dispute, another story that bordered on a reality all too surreal, that the bombing was carried out by aviation Libyan Gaddafi against crowds of unarmed peaceful protesters, nothing more false: that the bombings were then conducted by the Jet Libyans are those we see today in all the news in the newspapers and posted videos of the TV Western air raids implemented in the vicinity of oil refineries and the outskirts of the city occupied by opponents who are far from helpless.
At 19 days of the start of fighting between insurgents and forces loyal to Libyan Gaddafi, backed by militias allied to the regime, the situation seems very uncertain, with hundreds of casualties on the ground on both sides of the conflict, with a country split in two: Tripolitania (Tripoli With Capital) in the hands of the government's official Gaddafi and Cyrenaica, that the entire eastern part of the country (with Capital Benghazi) in rebel-held anti-Gaddafi, the rebels who are armed to the total teeth and ready for martyrdom, holy war to the death rather than overthrow the old Leader Gaddafi.
said that, with all the benefit of inventory, I feel more to support the old government official Gaddafi, because at least you know it well, and secondly because in the geo-political landscape of today is the Maghreb ' no single government can stem the threat that fundamentalist Islam as fanatical and fundamentalist, the only one who can seriously under the influence of Western governments, contain and crush international terrorism linked to Al Qaeda.
In case of victory of the rebels, which otherwise do not seem to now have a single co-ordination, the alternative is not democracy and social peace as well as here in the West dream "ideals" of the first and second hour, and no one be deceived, the armed rebellion may have a serious risk of turning into a "circle of hell" Iraq-style, full of anarchy, chaos, violence and lack of rules certain.
The various anti-government riots that have broken since December 2010 in North Africa, from Tunisia and Algeria, Egypt to end former President Mubarak, they all have a nature and character a well- different from that which was open revolt in Libya on February 17 last, in fact, what has characterized the political demonstrations in those countries was the democratic and peaceful settlement of disputes, although even in these times there were hundreds of dead and wounded in fighting more or less violent, nothing is the same as what happened in Libya since the early days where the protesters were armed or were armed.
From the beginning of the army and police barracks, armories, and so were the object and purpose of the raids of insurgents in the chaos of the anti-regime demonstrations have been attacked, and do not know if he really behind this apparent Revolution for freedom in Libya there is in fact the long arm of the followers of Osama Bin Laden, Al Qaeda and Islamic terrorists.
After 3-4 days of the start of armed rebellion Gadhafi on TV he immediately condemned the insurgents calling them terrorists, young drug addicts, (Al Qaeda has always been financed and is enriched with drug dealing, drugs, grass and anything else revolves around the world of opiates and cannabis! ), describing them as followers of Osama Bin Laden, maybe he's right? I always believe that truth is not found in one extreme or the other extreme, but I think the truth lies somewhere in between, it is therefore possible that Al Qaeda and Islamic fundamentalism has taken advantage of the chaos and uncertainty that is open in Libya on February 17 to enter, penetrate the heart of the revolt, awakening the "sleeper cells" that certainly have resided hundreds in Libya? Everything in that unfortunate and exploited African Continent is possible, the past history teaches us.
The same Iranian dictatorship had opened with a people's revolution, an armed revolution that seemed born for freedom but that freedom in the truest sense of the word had nothing, Khomeini rode the protest immediately after overthrowing the shah and took power, gave birth to the Islamic Republic of Iran, one of the toughest, most fundamentalist and obscurantist, based on Koranic law and dogma.
then return to my analysis now supports the official government led by Gaddafi and I hope soon to be sedated i combattimenti in tutta la Libia e che l'ordine, la pace sociale e la legge torni ad essere ripristinata quanto prima possibile, altrimenti davvero un nuovo Iraq caotico, sanguinolento ed anarchico si potrebbe aprire alle porte dell'Europa ed a pochi passi dalle coste Italiane.
Questa guerra civile Libica non porterà mai buone cose, perchè la guerra è solo sinonimo di distruzione, di morte, di sangue, di caos e ingiustizie, anche se questa guerra può essere sostenuta o basata su una buona causa.
Tornando alla minaccia del fondamentalismo Islamico e del terrorismo di Al Qaeda, riporto le ultime parole del Rais Libico Gheddafi, a capo dell'unico Governo ufficiale che io riconosco in Libya, as well as the issuer has given the French Journal du Dimanche "during an interview granted to him two days ago, Gaddafi said :
" Jiihad There will be an Islamic, there will be acts of piracy near Europe! If my government will fall, Europe will be invaded by tens of thousands of immigrants (already are starting to land by the hundreds on the Sicilian coast! Ed) that no one will be able to stop! If my government will fall Libya will be destabilized and will slide into chaos, came to power the followers of Osama Bin Laden, the terrorists take over and control across the country! Bin Laden will come to settle in North Africa, you will have at your doorstep! We will wage a real Jiihad (Holy War) Islamic front of you, in the Mediterranean, from which the terrorists game is to attack the U.S. Navy Sixth Fleet, will attack your city, true acts of piracy will be around 50 km from here your cost! There will be a real global crisis, will open a scenario that I would not leave never happen, I'm surprised that nobody in the West understands the magnitude of this problem, this is a fight against terrorism, the Libyan security services cooperate and have always helped me so much the West in recent years to contain the problem of fundamentalist terrorism Islamic! So why when we here in Libya we are at war against terrorism, no one is willing to help? No one here has drowned in blood the uprising and not the real news report that thousands and thousands of deaths during armed clashes! I propose and urge the UN or the African Union to send a Commission of Inquiry into Libya to monitor and evaluate the situation on the ground, this Commission of Inquiry will be able to move freely within the territory of Libya without obstacles or impediments! This Commission of Inquiry could also be led and chaired by France, which has large business interests in Libya! The UN Security Council unfortunately abusing his powers on the basis of mere rumors and news, I just wonder if its a Commission of Inquiry into the UN would actually intervene in Libya, in the meantime its resolution for me is not worth anything! "
The option of tightening the economic embargo against Gaddafi's government is not a solution of the happiest, even with Saddam Hussein in Iraq, the embargo starved the Iraqi people only ( 500,000 deaths especially among children the lack of appropriate medicines, medicines were scarce and were insufficient in number because of the economic embargo International!) and beyond, the economic blockade had the opposite effect, namely to strengthen the regime Saddam Hussein, not weaken it, before the Second World War, isolationism and political policies of the economic embargo against states as punishment opponents, had failed the first with Germany and Italy with Mussolini.
What to do? You take the fly Rais Gaddafi's own words, he set up a UN Commission of Inquiry headed by France or one of the African Union, send the Commission in the field, Gaddafi has assured the Commission of Inquiry into the hypothetical maximum freedom of movement and action.
Moreover, in the mid 90s of last century, several dispatches from various informants Secret Service agents and several European countries had announced and analyzed various situations of social tension that gradually were opening in the Libyan society in general and in North-Africa, a company already perceived as "contaminated" by ' injection of Islamic fundamentalism on the part of "cells" dormant infiltrated, here you are in one of those dispatches from an information of a secret agent operating in Libya in Tripoli in 1995:
" In June 1995 and March 1996, there have been fierce armed clashes in Benghazi region (North West) between the police and Gaddafi's Islamic insurgents, the situation resembles, per certi aspetti, gli inizi dell'insurrezione Algerina, iniziata con un evasione di massa da una prigione dei detenuti che vi erano rinchiusi, i quali dopo aver saccheggiato un deposito di armi, si sono asserragliati su un territorio montagnoso, quello di Dirna, dando inizio alla guerriglia armata contro le forze di sicurezza Algerine.
Tornando ai rivoltosi di Bengasi, dopo aspri e sanguinosi combattimenti che avrebbero fatto un centinaio di vittime, l'esercito di Gheddafi è riuscito a prendere il sopravvento e a ristabilire l'ordine nella zona in questione.
Disorganizzati, isolati, nonostante l'aiuto dei fratelli Mussulmani Egyptians of the Jama 'Islamiya present among their ranks to fight against the army, the Islamic Libyans do not seem able now to go beyond the individual coups against Gaddafi and Libyan against the institutions that represent it! "
That was back in 1996, in some ways it seems the "photocopy" of what is happening today in 2011 but unlike 15 years ago, the Libyan Islamic rebels appear to have been able to organize files and larger number of fighters well-armed, motivated and determined.
In any case, I hope for a peaceful solution to this conflict, I pray for peace and social order of the violence come from anywhere, but personally, rather than the chaos and violent anarchy, with no precise rules, style, style Iraq or Afghanistan worse, rather than the "warlords" style Ethiopia or Somalia, I much prefer to return to Libya Gaddafi govern with his order of course, even if questionable, with its political stability, social and economic in recent years has distinguished.
Alexander Mitrokhin
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